Seasonality and supply are tempering advertised asking rent growth but demand remains strong, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. The average U.S. advertised asking rent decreased by $3 in September to $1,750, flat at 0.9 percent year-over-year (YoY). Occupancy stood at 94.8 percent in September, unchanged YoY. Gateway markets in the East and secondary markets in the Midwest continue to lead in YoY advertised asking rent growth, run by New York City (5.4 percent), Kansas City (4.2 percent) and Boston (3.4 percent). Supply increases continue to pressure asking rents in many Sun Belt metros, and the largest declines YoY were posted by Austin (-4.9 percent), Raleigh (-3.1 percent) and Phoenix (-2.4 percent). Post-pandemic demand has led to 1.7 million multifamily units absorbed between March 2020 and August 2024. All 132 markets surveyed experienced positive absorption, with Dallas (108,000 units) and Houston (71,000 units) in the lead. Single-family rentals advertised asking rents decreased $3 in September to $2,167, for a 0.6 percent YoY increase, with Kansas City (4.7 percent YoY) and Indianapolis (4.3 percent) posted the strongest growth. SFR occupancy declined 30 basis points to 95.3 percent in August. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, affordable housing, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

The need for additional affordable housing inventory is a foundational issue for the market, a new Yardi Matrix Research Bulletin on the affordable housing sector shows. With an increasing number of households being designated as “cost burdened” across earning brackets, policymakers are pushing for more affordable stock, with an expected 69,600 units set to come online in 2024. A multi-year peak for the sector is anticipated with the 70,500 units projected for delivery in 2025. However, a looming slowdown in new inventory after 2025 could exacerbate the problem.    The primary challenge facing governments and renters alike is that market rate housing is not competitive with affordable housing in many of the country’s major metros, including markets such as Chicago, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Boston, Miami and Northern New Jersey. In San Francisco (where the market-rate average is $3,028 and fully affordable average is $1,982) or Boston (where the market-rate average is $2,801 and fully affordable average is $1,819), there is a big gap between market-rate and fully affordable rents. Conversely, at least 90 percent of market-rate stock is competitive with affordable properties in seven small markets, including South Dakota; Wichita, Kan.; Huntsville, Ala.; Amarillo, Texas; Des Moines, Iowa; Fayetteville, Ark.; and Omaha, Neb. The Yardi Matrix study is based on a dataset containing over 3.3 million units in 20,000 fully affordable housing properties. These properties are owned and operated by both private sector entities and non-profit organizations. The study compared the average maximum allowable rent of fully affordable units owned by private entities with the average advertised rent of market-rate units, broken into four levels of apartment quality. Review the levels and income required for affordability of each type in the report. In addition to the competitiveness disparity, supply growth limitations and composition of total housing...

Despite the uncertainty fueled by declines in advertised asking rental rates, investor interest remains high for acquisition and development, depending on seasonal patterns as well, according to industry data contained in the latest Self Storage National Report from Yardi Matrix. The annualized same store advertised asking rate reached an average of $16.31 nationally in August 2024. That is a 4.3 percent decrease on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. This is the 23rd consecutive month of declines. All top metros tracked by Yardi Matrix saw negative movement in advertised asking rents in August. Combined same-store advertised asking rents for non-climate-controlled units and climate-controlled units decreased YoY. Rates for larger units are faring better than those for smaller units in almost all metros. Yardi Matrix tracks a total of 3,408 self storage properties in various stages of development, including 837 under construction, 2,063 planned and 508 prospective properties. Yardi Matrix also maintains operational profiles for 32,142 facilities, bringing the total data set to 35,550. Gain more information on the performance of the self storage sector. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, affordable housing, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

As we move through 2024, the self storage market is navigating a complex landscape shaped by a mix of persistent challenges and emerging opportunities. Yardi Matrix experts Jeff Adler and Tyson Huebner recently delivered an update on the industry’s current state in a webinar (available for download here), drawing on recent data and trends to offer a clearer picture of what’s happening in the self storage sector.The self storage market has faced significant headwinds over the past year. Despite the typically bustling summer season, performance has remained underwhelming. Home sales—a key driver of occupancy and rent growth during the pandemic—are at their lowest in nearly two decades. This downturn has translated into declining revenue and net operating income (NOI) growth for self storage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). “Advertised asking rent rates have been falling year over year for almost two years, with a decline of 4.1 percent recorded in July. Although this represents a slight improvement from previous months, the overall trend remains negative,” said Huebner, research director for Yardi Matrix. On the supply side, there is some positive news. The delivery of new units is finally trending downward, with 2024’s expected deliveries being nearly 10% lower than those in 2023. This reduction in new supply should alleviate some pressure on the market and help stabilize conditions. “Looking ahead to 2025, the reduction in new supply could help support growth, and there is optimism that a potential drop in mortgage rates might boost home sales and, by extension, demand for self storage,” Huebner said. There are emerging signs that the market may be nearing a turning point. For the first time in nine quarters, average rent and occupancy rates have shown relative stability year over year. This stabilization, which began in Midwestern, Northeastern,...

Consistent economic growth and demographic trends sustained multifamily demand at the start of the third quarter, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. The average U.S. publicly advertised rent or “asking rent” rose 0.8 percent year-over-year (YoY) through July, or $4 to $1,743. The national occupancy rate in June remained at 94.6 percent for the seventh straight month, down 0.4 percent YoY. Gateway metros in the East and secondary markets in the Midwest continued to lead rent growth YoY, with the strongest performance registered in New York City (5.2 percent), Washington, D.C. (4.0 percent) and Kansas City (3.4 percent). Rent growth remained negative in several Sun Belt metros, led by Austin (-5.7 percent), Atlanta (-3.3 percent) and Raleigh (-2.8 percent). The single-family rental market continued to exhibit strength, with advertised asking rents up $5 in July to $2,171, up one percent YoY. Demand is sustained by high cost of homeownership and the lack of available homes for sale. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, affordable housing, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

Surveyed preleasing at colleges and universities tracked by Yardi® reached 85.2 percent in June, on par with last year’s pace and outpacing historic trends. The average advertised asking rent per bed stood at $898 last month, while year-over-year rent growth slowed to five percent, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report. Averaging 6.1 percent asking rent growth for the season since October 2023, the Fall 2024 school year is shaping up to be one of the best for the student housing sector. During the summer months, the pace of preleasing has slowed. Additionally, issues with FAFSA filing and processing pose a concern for near-term enrollment growth. Nevertheless, 39 universities were at least 94 percent preleased already, including 13 schools that reached at least 99.7 percent preleased. A total of 41 universities posted double-digit rent growth in June. Large primary state schools like Tennessee and Purdue had the strongest rent growth. Smaller institutions such as Vermont (16.7 percent rent growth), San Jose State (15.8 percent), Oregon State (15.8 percent) and New Hampshire (15.6 percent), also stand out. “Rent growth is most significantly impacted by preleasing and enrollment trends. The top four schools for rent growth were on average 93.4 percent preleased and experienced 4.7 percent enrollment growth in 2023, versus the bottom four which average 67.4 percent preleased. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report.  Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, affordable housing student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

Yardi Matrix’s Q2 Self Storage Supply Forecast remains mostly unchanged, as the development pipeline in the first quarter was consistent with previous expectations. The construction pipeline was flat in the first quarter of 2024, leading to relatively no changes in the near-term forecast for 2024 and 2025. In the Q1 look, those expectations were upped by 10.9 percent and 12.5 percent, respectively. The current levelling-off period is driven by elevated completion times. Forecasted completions for 2026 to 2029 are still expected to decline. Supply growth for 2026 and 2027 will likely contract by two percent of inventory, and further in 2028 and 2029. “The number of deferred and abandoned self storage projects continued to increase in the first quarter of 2024. Growth in the planned pipeline has moderated, while the prospective pipeline contracted. Street rates are on a declining path, with project sponsors reporting a difficult financing environment,” say Matrix analysts. In the first quarter of 2024, the planned pipeline rose by 4.9 percent, while the prospective stage saw a 5.1 percent quarter-over-quarter decrease but remained mostly flat on a yearly basis. The number of deferred projects grew 67 percent annually and the number of abandoned storage properties rose to 50 properties as of March 2024. Review the new Self Storage Supply Forecast from Yardi Matrix. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

Yardi Matrix hosted its Q2 2024 Multifamily Webinar this week, providing more than an hour of useful insight and analysis on rent performance, supply dynamics and opportunities for investment in the sector. Miss Jeff Adler’s insight? View the presentation recording or review the slide deck on the Yardi Matrix website. The latest Matrix monthly multifamily report can also be found here. The average U.S. asking rent gained $6 to $1,725 in April, up 0.7 percent year-over-year. Meanwhile, occupancy remained at 94.5 percent in March, a rate it has held since the beginning of the year. “All things considered, March and April were positive months from a seasonal standpoint, April is right in line with (a typical) seasonal uplift in rents,” said Adler, vice president of Yardi Matrix. Topline webinar takeaway: rental market performance currently varies by region, with factors such as supply response, job growth, and regulatory issues playing critical roles. And while rents for “renter by necessity” properties have increased, margins have not necessarily followed suit due to rising expenses, especially insurance. Regional trendlines include the Southeast, where rents are decreasing due to a high volume of new supply. In the Midwest, there are more modest completions and good rent growth, making it an attractive option for portfolio diversification. Cincinnati, Omaha and Lexington led year-over-year rent growth last year. Columbus, Louisville and Dayton are also performing well in 2024. More generally, select tertiary markets are performing well because job growth is driving demand without a significant supply response. Madison, Louisville, Milwaukee and Grand Rapids top that list, supporting the strong performance of the Midwest overall. In addition to a thorough look at the state of the U.S. economy (food for thought: household sentiment doesn’t align with the generally positive perspective presented by the...

Preleasing at Yardi 200 schools reached 73.5 percent in April, exceeding last year’s rate by 50 basis points, while rent growth stood at 5.5 percent, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report.  As of April, the average rent reached $895 per bedroom, unchanged from the previous month and 5.5 percent higher year-over-year. Similar to the preleasing rate’s evolution, rent growth has slowed from the beginning of the leasing season, but is still above the average growth rate of 3.5 percent. Rent growth slowed from 6.8 percent early on in the leasing season and has averaged six percent throughout the leasing season to date. A total of 35 U.S. markets saw double digit rent growth, while 23 posted rent declines. State schools across the Sun Belt with growing enrollments have seen the biggest jumps in rents. Preleasing has lately been trending in line with last year. A total of 19 schools were at least 90 percent preleased as of April, including Ole Miss (100 percent), Kentucky (93.3 percent), Purdue (93 percent) and James Madison (92.5 percent). But 22 universities didn’t reach a 50 percent preleasing rate, such as UT–Arlington and Georgia State. “Strong rent growth is indicative of solid demand for product and consolidation of higher education into the largest student housing markets, as primary state schools have been able to outgrow their peers,” state Matrix analysts.  Student housing investment has been on par with last year, with 18 properties changing hands year-to-date through April. The average price per bed stood at $100,857—well ahead of previous years. Gain more insight on leasing, rents and investment in the new Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report.  Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers...

The multifamily market is a tale of two supply scenarios, shows a new special report from Yardi Matrix. Of the 134 U.S. cities reviewed by Yardi Matrix, those that recorded substantial growth during the pandemic and are now receiving high volumes of new supply are posting stagnant or falling rents. Nine of 20 markets that saw rents fall since the beginning of the year are in Florida or Texas. Other pandemic high-growth markets like Atlanta, Raleigh-Durham and Salt Lake City are also experiencing lower average asking rents than a few months ago. Secondary markets in the Midwest, Northeast and South are still posting strong growth in asking rents. Markets with increases higher than two percent include Albany; Milwaukee; Worchester-Springfield; Louisville; Cincinnati; Des Moines; Richmond; Madison; Lafayette, Ohio; Youngstown; Providence; Northern Virginia; Portland, Maine; and Scranton-Wilkes-Barre. Honolulu, where supply is a consistent challenge, marked 5.7 percent growth year-to-date. “We still expect markets with lots of supply to continue to struggle to realize gains this year, but that is only a supply issue, and once those new units get absorbed all of those markets will be back in good shape,” notes the report. Rent growth in 2025 will be stronger than this year, and in 2026 even more so, as the current influx of supply to be fully absorbed. Gain more insights in the latest Multifamily Rent Forecast Update from Yardi Matrix. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

The self storage real estate sector is facing headwinds and continues to be affected by current market conditions, according to the latest Self Storage National Report from Yardi Matrix. Annual street rate growth was still negative in February. The average annualized same-store asking rent per square foot for combined mix of unit sizes reached an average of $16.37 nationally last month, marking a 3.6 percent decrease on a year-over-year basis. All top metros registered a negative street rate on an annual basis in February. Combined same-store rates for non-climate-controlled units and climate-controlled units decreased in all the top metros tracked by Yardi Matrix on a year-over-year basis. “There is hope that a turnaround in the housing market later this year or early 2025, contingent on interest rates cuts, could unlock pent-up demand for housing and migration, thus fueling demand for self storage,” say Matrix analysts. Investors are showing precaution due to market uncertainty. Nevertheless, despite the impact of high interest rates, there is still interest in self storage development. Yardi Matrix tracks a total of 5,148 self storage properties in various stages of development, including 880 under construction, 2,031 planned, 592 prospective, 1,546 abandoned and 99 deferred properties. Yardi Matrix also maintains profiles for 30,294 operational facilities, bringing the total dataset to 35,442. Gain more insight on the performance of the self storage sector. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

Last month, the average student housing preleasing rate for Yardi 200 schools reached 61.5 percent, marking a 450-basis-point increase year-over-year, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report. The market is healthy enough to absorb 46,000 new beds coming online, with demand fueled by enrollment growth. The average rent per bed reached $883 in February, showing a 5.2 percent increase since the same period last year. Year-over-year rent growth was down from the 6.7 percent recorded in October 2023. A total of 16 universities were more than 80 percent preleased, including larger student markets like Ole Miss (98.7 percent), Purdue (88.7 percent), Tennessee-Knoxville (87.5 percent), Virginia Tech (87.2 percent) and Arkansas (86.8 percent). Only 35 schools were less than 40 percent preleased, compared to 47 percent in February 2023. “Rent growth slowed each month of the leasing season but is well-above the average of 3.5 percent going back to the beginning of 2018, and well ahead of the general multifamily market, as student housing has proven to have much different demand drivers,” note Matrix analysts. Enrollment data collected from 178 universities shows that total enrollment was up 0.8 percent on a year-over-year basis, marking a significant increase from the -0.3 percent recorded in Fall 2022. Yardi Matrix forecasts that 46,285 new beds will come online in 2024, improving considerably on the 35,610 beds delivered in 2023. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...

The multifamily market has 58,533 properties with loans set to mature over the next five years, representing $525 billion of the total $1.1 trillion of loans currently backed by apartments, according to a new special report from Yardi Matrix. Metros with the largest volume of maturities include Atlanta ($34.9 billion), Dallas ($26.6 billion), Denver ($22.9 billion), Houston ($20.8 billion), New York ($19.9 billion) and Chicago ($18.8 billion). Markets with the highest percentage of loans coming due through the end of 2029 are Atlanta (65.9 percent), Denver (56.9 percent), Nashville (56.2 percent), Las Vegas (55.9 percent), Houston (53.6 percent) and Chicago (53.2 percent). More than half of the multifamily loans found in Yardi Matrix’s database, $641.8 billion (56.3 percent) was originated by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Next in line, at $187.3 billion (16.4 percent) came from commercial banks, followed by the federal government/HUD ($115.7 billion, 10.1 percent), debt funds (69.9 billion, 6.2 percent), life companies ($67.6 billion, 5.9 percent) and CMBS ($25.2 billion, 2.2 percent). “Multifamily originations peaked during years with record transaction volume, including 2021 (when $194.7 billion of loans were originated) and 2022 ($209.8 billion), as investor demand reached a high point during a time of strong fundamental performance and low interest rate,” note Matrix analysts. Of the loans in the database, $61.8 billion are set to mature in 2024, with another $84.3 billion in 2025, $89.3 billion in 2026, $77.9 billion in 2027 and $107.3 billion in 2028. By percentage, 5.4 percent of the loans will mature by the end of this year, 12.8 percent by the end of 2025, 27.5 percent by the end of 2027 and 46.1 percent by the end of 2029. Markets with a high percentage of loans maturing over the short term and recent negative rent growth include...

National asking rents posted their first increase in over seven months in February, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. The average U.S. asking rent rose $1 to $1,713 in February, up 0.6 percent year-over-year (YoY), while occupancy decreased 60 basis points YoY to 94.5 percent as of January. Markets in the Northeast and Midwest continued to register rent increases, in contrast to rent contractions in high-supply Sun Belt markets. Of Yardi Matrix’s top 30 metros, 13 posted rent declines, and five were down by three percent or more YoY. Occupancy was positive only in San Francisco, up 0.1 percent. While rents generally show signs of stability, factors including supply, demand, regional metrics and affordability will determine the market’s 2024 performance. Occupancy is likely to continue to decline, with one million new rental units expected to come online through the end of 2025. Already, heavy deliveries in Sun Belt and Southwest metros have eroded rent growth, with more construction underway. “While high-demand markets are likely to record weak rent growth over the next year or two, the seeds of a rebound have been planted, as starts are declining and deliveries will drop in 2026 and 2027,” states the report. Single-family rents declined $2 in February to $2,133, equating to a 1.2 percent year-over-year increase. Single family occupancy remained flat at 96.5 percent in January. High mortgage rates and the scarcity of for-sale assets continue to boost demand. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Multifamily Report. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call...

Multifamily asking rents broke the five-month streak of sequential average declines in January, rising 0.07 percent, shows a new special report from Yardi Matrix. Of the 142 markets tracked, last month 61 posted declines, 71 marked increases and 10 remained flat. Largest increases continued to occur in midsize cities in the Northeast and South, including in White Plains, NY; Buffalo, NY; Birmingham, AL; Worcester-Springfield, MA; and Columbus, GA. The largest decreases were consistent in Western markets and Florida. On a national level, by asset class, rents in the Renter-by-Necessity (RBN) segment rose 0.08 percent, outperforming Lifestyle (0.04 percent). The strongest performers in RBN rents, with MoM growth of over 1 percent, were 11 midsize cities in the South and Northeast and four markets in the West. In the Lifestyle segment, 14 markets posted MoM growth greater than 1 percent, 10 of which were in the South or Midwest and four scattered far from Northeast—Honolulu, the Inland Empire, Miami and the Central Coast. “Overall performance in asking rents in January was remarkably strong for a month that is generally very weak and often negative, and we expect the trend of RBN rents performing better than Lifestyle rents to continue throughout the year,” say analysts. The strong job reports and improving consumer confidence have pushed the expected mild recession to the end of this year or beginning of the next year. This has also impacted Yardi Matrix’s national forecast for 2024, up from 0.8 percent to 1.8 percent, but the substantial influx of supply expected to come online this year will dampen rent growth in many of the larger Sun Belt markets.   Read the latest Multifamily Rent Forecast Update from Yardi Matrix. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and...

Student housing’s consistently rising preleasing rate exceeded 50 percent of tracked inventory by the end of January 2024, well ahead of last year’s figure, according to the latest Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report. Preleasing for the 2024-2025 school year reached 54.5 percent in January, marking a 710-basis-point increase since January 2023. A total of 22 markets were at least 75 percent preleased, while four exceeded the 90 percent rate. A combination of enrollment growth and decreasing new supply is driving the sector’s performance. Asking rates at Yardi 200 schools continued to climb to record highs, hitting $863 per bed in January. However, rent growth decelerated year-over-year, falling to 4.4 percent in January. “Rent growth patterns in student housing vary by market. Some operators push rates hard at the beginning of the leasing season to test the market and ease rent growth later on to fill the remaining beds. Slowing rent growth also reflects the fact that increases were high a year ago,” say Matrix analysts. Yardi Matrix forecasts that 46,285 new beds will deliver in 2024, marking a significant increase from the 35,610 beds delivered in 2023. Investment activity decelerated in 2023, with only 76 student housing properties changing hands. Gain more insight in the new Yardi Matrix National Student Housing Report. Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn...