Rent Forecast Update

From Yardi Matrix

By Yardi Blog Staff on Feb 29, 2024 in Matrix

Multifamily asking rents broke the five-month streak of sequential average declines in January, rising 0.07 percent, shows a new special report from Yardi Matrix.

Of the 142 markets tracked, last month 61 posted declines, 71 marked increases and 10 remained flat. Largest increases continued to occur in midsize cities in the Northeast and South, including in White Plains, NY; Buffalo, NY; Birmingham, AL; Worcester-Springfield, MA; and Columbus, GA. The largest decreases were consistent in Western markets and Florida.

On a national level, by asset class, rents in the Renter-by-Necessity (RBN) segment rose 0.08 percent, outperforming Lifestyle (0.04 percent). The strongest performers in RBN rents, with MoM growth of over 1 percent, were 11 midsize cities in the South and Northeast and four markets in the West.

In the Lifestyle segment, 14 markets posted MoM growth greater than 1 percent, 10 of which were in the South or Midwest and four scattered far from Northeast—Honolulu, the Inland Empire, Miami and the Central Coast.

“Overall performance in asking rents in January was remarkably strong for a month that is generally very weak and often negative, and we expect the trend of RBN rents performing better than Lifestyle rents to continue throughout the year,” say analysts.

The strong job reports and improving consumer confidence have pushed the expected mild recession to the end of this year or beginning of the next year. This has also impacted Yardi Matrix’s national forecast for 2024, up from 0.8 percent to 1.8 percent, but the substantial influx of supply expected to come online this year will dampen rent growth in many of the larger Sun Belt markets.  

Read the latest Multifamily Rent Forecast Update from Yardi Matrix.

Yardi Matrix offers the industry’s most comprehensive market intelligence tool for investment professionals, equity investors, lenders and property managers who underwrite and manage investments in commercial real estate. Yardi Matrix covers multifamily, student housing, vacant land, industrial, office, retail and self storage property types. Email [email protected], call 480-663-1149 or visit yardimatrix.com to learn more.